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Climate change and international tourism: A simulation study
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-08, 11:09 authored by Jacqueline M Hamilton, David J Maddison, Richard TolRichard TolThe literature on tourism and climate change lacks an analysis of the global changes in tourism demand. Here, a simulation model of international tourism is presented that fills that gap. The current pattern of international tourist flows is modelled using 1995 data on departures and arrivals for 207 countries. Using this basic model the impact on arrivals and departures through changes in population, per capita income and climate change are analysed. In the medium to long term, tourism will grow, however, the change from climate change is smaller than from population and income changes.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
Global Environmental ChangeISSN
0959-3780Publisher
ElsevierExternal DOI
Issue
3Volume
15Page range
253-266Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes