s41467-018-06645-9.pdf (1.58 MB)
Mediterranean UNESCO World Heritage at risk from coastal flooding and erosion due to sea-level rise
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-09, 14:51 authored by Lena Reimann, Sally Brown, Jochen Hinkel, Richard TolRichard Tol, Nassos VafeidisUNESCO World Heritage sites (WHS) located in coastal areas are increasingly at risk from coastal hazards due to sea-level rise. In this study, we assess Mediterranean cultural WHS at risk from coastal flooding and erosion under four sea-level rise scenarios until 2100. Based on the analysis of spatially explicit WHS data, we develop an index-based approach that allows for ranking WHS at risk from both coastal hazards. Here we show that of 49 cultural WHS located in low-lying coastal areas of the Mediterranean, 37 are at risk from a 100-year flood and 42 from coastal erosion, already today. Until 2100, flood risk may increase by 50% and erosion risk by 13% across the region, with considerably higher increases at individual WHS. Our results provide a first-order assessment of where adaptation is most urgently needed and can support policymakers in steering local-scale research to devise suitable adaptation strategies for each WHS.
History
Publication status
- Published
File Version
- Published version
Journal
Nature CommunicationsISSN
2041-1723Publisher
Nature Publishing GroupExternal DOI
Issue
4161Volume
9Page range
1-11Department affiliated with
- Economics Publications
Full text available
- Yes
Peer reviewed?
- Yes
Legacy Posted Date
2018-08-30First Open Access (FOA) Date
2018-10-30First Compliant Deposit (FCD) Date
2018-10-30Usage metrics
Categories
No categories selectedKeywords
Licence
Exports
RefWorks
BibTeX
Ref. manager
Endnote
DataCite
NLM
DC