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The statistics of the national lottery
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-07, 21:45 authored by John HaighSome methods to test the randomness of the numbers drawn in the UK National Lottery are described. The data for the first 96 draws are consistent with the numbers being drawn at random, both in terms of the individual frequencies and of the waiting times for successive appearances. The number combinations chosen by gamblers are shown to be far from random, as a whole: data from the UK and other countries demonstrate that certain combinations are much more popular than average, and thus the skill to identify unpopular combinations can increase the mean return. Families of models of gambler choice are described, but, despite some encouraging indications, they all have significant deficiencies.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series AISSN
0964-1998Publisher
Royal Statistical SocietyExternal DOI
Issue
2Volume
160Page range
187-206ISBN
0035-9238Department affiliated with
- Mathematics Publications
Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes