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Uncertainty in the assessment of hazard, exposure and risk
journal contribution
posted on 2023-06-07, 23:37 authored by Michael H RamseyThe terminology, concepts and current approaches to uncertainty in the assessment of hazard, exposure and risk are reviewed. Five generic questions are discussed on uncertainty, including sources, levels, when and how it should be dealt with or reduced, what are our gaps in understanding and how they can be addressed. A case study of lead exposure of children in Lavrion, Greece, is used to exemplify these questions and possible answers. Estimation of uncertainty may be improved by the use of interorganisational studies to capture sources of uncertainty that are often overlooked. Gaps identified in our understanding of uncertainty include: a limitation in the availability of basic measurements, a lack of knowledge of the environmental processes, an inability to predict the effects of mixtures, the aetiology of disease and devising procedures for optimal resource allocation in impact assessment.
History
Publication status
- Published
Journal
Environmental Geochemistry and HealthISSN
0269-4042Publisher
Springer VerlagExternal DOI
Issue
2Volume
31Page range
205-217Pages
13.0Department affiliated with
- Evolution, Behaviour and Environment Publications
Notes
Paper is described by the journal as a review, but it does have new findings based upon the application of the ideas to a case study of lead exposure of children in a mining area.Full text available
- No
Peer reviewed?
- Yes